Martingale/Parlay

Started by FreeRoulette, Nov 30, 2023, 11:16 PM

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FreeRoulette

Thought of another system.

If you double up on red until you win, Martingale, then you eventually lose.

So, if you will lose, then you should be able to place a minimum bet and put all you winnings back into the bet, parlay, until it wins 7 times.

That is what I thought at the casino and I tried it on the tables. It does work, but you can place a lot of $2 bets before winning streak of 7 in a row.

So here is the new idea. I'm going to look at the statistics over millions of spins and see what the bell curve looks like between winning 7 in a row to the next 7 in a row.

After a certain number of spins, the chance of 7 in a row gets higher. So, before it gets to that prime range, I will martingale, but as it approaches the prime range, I will switch to parlay.

It works brilliantly in my mind, but want to see how the system does.

FreeRoulette

This surprised me, but over a 100 million spins testing the gaps between 7 in a row, there were every amount of gaps through 4000. No bell curve or indication of spin range that might be best. All that I can conclude is that longer gaps happen less often.

winkel


Albalaha

When extreme variance will attack in a negative way, any probability of happening of something could go as far as 15x. So, if RR should roughly happen once in say every 4 spins, in the worst cases, it could take up to 60 spins to happen just once, so the range could be 2 spins to 60 spins. Now, this brings in enough space to make any progression idea, ineffective. Be it Martingale or Parlay, it applies on all.