educated betselection

Started by winkel, Apr 11, 2023, 01:04 PM

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winkel

Everyone who read former posts of me will detect multiple repeats and referals.

The first number we always bet ist the date: e.g. today is the 11th of april, so we would bet the 11.

A single number has the normal expectation to hit or not.

So we try to find some other numbers who have a good expectation to hit.

winkel

In Germany the first spin starts with the ball resting in the date. And the first spin starts from there.
So I have the hypothesis, that for the first spin and the developement of the numbers the date-pocket of the wheel has a certain dependance.

To detect this we have to play/register all numbers virually.


PSV 0001.PNG

A number that has hit gets a 1 all others stay 0

winkel

Sorry, I forgot to mention that I always play from the first spin on up to 34th spin.

winkel

If we continue our stats day by day we will get this:

PSV 0002.PNG

on the right side you see a column "max"

all numbers in the matrix with the max appearance will be read coloured.


"#max" shows how many numbers are "max"
"max-1" in yellow the runnerups

so we can easily find our next betting numbers:
at this date we would bet the day 9 and all max6-numbers 2 21 24 25 29
so we have 6 numbers to be bet.

winkel

6 numbers to bet seem too less for a good win. But lets try it.
If we reach a Plus we stop betting immediately and run away.

this game is designed for HitandRun.

What we can do in a very rare case of not hitting often enough in 34 spins, will be explained later.

So my question is: Anyone interested in this?

BTW: the results for the selected numbers on the next day:
PSV 10005.PNG




winkel

I worked on this. Now it is possible to bet on clustered spins (10;12;34)

It´s sad nobody is interested in it.

winkel

results for this betselection

July 2023 table 1

1        22
2        17
3        10
4        24
5        24
6        12
7        18
8        -62
9        16
10        16
11        24
12        16
13        8
14        12
15        22
16        1
17        23
18        14
19        25
20        14
21        16
22        25
23        -40
24        22
25        13
26        -40
27        26
28        -50
29        26
30        -84
31        -62
       
        108

table 2

1        -40
2        27
3        -18
4        -18
5        1
6        12
7        22
8        25
9        21
10        26
11        29
12        18
13        -28
14        2
15        6
16        18
17        25
18        23
19        16
20        8
21        26
22        22
23        22
24        -108
25        10
26        -86
27        23
28        22
29        23
30        13
31        23
       
        165


HardMan

Those numbers 1-8 represent the consecutive days (4 posts above)?

It would be great to see what the realized hitrate is for each dated number (1-31)?

HardMan

Still no edits available ..

Disregard the first question.

winkel

Quote from: HardMan on Aug 07, 2023, 09:32 PMIt would be great to see what the realized hitrate is for each dated number (1-31)?

The hitrate of the number of the date is about >60%

HardMan

So is that >60% based on hitrate/31 or hitrate divided by 37?
Given that there are only 30-31 days in month numbers 32-36+0 are excludedfrom theprimary positionby default,correct?

Next thing, I haveno idea what those various maxes mean.
Are you basically using the concepf Turbo advocates for, in a similar fashion qualifying the numbers to be bet by noting how many phases those won, taking the best performer?


The main trouble applying this globally I see, as the custom of starting the first spin with the dated-number may not be relevant except in Deutchland & perhaps some other places. Then the numbers dealer might opt for over a period of amonth might turn into repeats, & thereof invalidate the maxes qualifying methodology itself .. that's why theinterest may be as it is.

winkel

Quote from: HardMan on Aug 08, 2023, 09:07 PMSo is that >60% based on hitrate/31 or hitrate divided by 37?
Given that there are only 30-31 days in month numbers 32-36+0 are excludedfrom theprimary positionby default,correct?

Next thing, I haveno idea what those various maxes mean.
Are you basically using the concepf Turbo advocates for, in a similar fashion qualifying the numbers to be bet by noting how many phases those won, taking the best performer?


The main trouble applying this globally I see, as the custom of starting the first spin with the dated-number may not be relevant except in Deutchland & perhaps some other places. Then the numbers dealer might opt for over a period of amonth might turn into repeats, & thereof invalidate the maxes qualifying methodology itself .. that's why theinterest may be as it is.



Quote from: HardMan on Aug 08, 2023, 09:07 PMSo is that >60% based on hitrate/31 or hitrate divided by 37?
Given that there are only 30-31 days in month numbers 32-36+0 are excludedfrom theprimary positionby default,correct?


No! The date is a constant betselection. Additional I bet all numbers with the most hits.

Quote from: HardMan on Aug 08, 2023, 09:07 PMNext thing, I haveno idea what those various maxes mean.


Take line 8 as an example.

max: in line 8 the highest count is 6
#max: 5 numbers have count 6
max-1: 11 numbers have count (6-1) 5
max-2: 9 numbers have count (6-2) 4
and so on.

I don´t know Turbos strategy.




HardMan

Quote from: winkel on Aug 08, 2023, 10:23 PMNo! The date is a constant betselection. Additional I bet all numbers with the most hits.

Wasn't that what I said;  primary bet position = constant bet selection.
So, each day a different primary number, 1-31.

Quote from: HardMan on Aug 08, 2023, 09:07 PMSo is that >60% based on hitrate/31 or hitrate divided by 37?
Given that there are only 30-31 days in month numbers 32-36+0 are excluded from the primary position by default,correct?

Also, as I said, its unsuitable to apply this strategy anywhere else out of Deutschland (less any other pottential territories where the date = initial day spin position), due to the having the repeats of initial spin position through the month. Any way to surpass that, in your view?

Finally, Turbo's proposed concept; although a bit different, conceptually similar to yours.
https://www.gamblingforums.com/threads/advantage-of-repeaters-explained-part-3-2020.18024/




winkel

Quote from: HardMan on Aug 09, 2023, 08:13 PMAlso, as I said, its unsuitable to apply this strategy anywhere else out of Deutschland (less any other pottential territories where the date = initial day spin position), due to the having the repeats of initial spin position through the month. Any way to surpass that, in your view?


Everybody should know:
The last pocket where the ball rested nor the release point for the next spin have anything to do with the result of the spin if the bet is placed before the spin.