[Manrique] The 4 Game Situations

Started by VLS, Apr 17, 2025, 04:45 PM

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VLS

The 4 Game Situations

Situation 1:

We have hits clearly above the expected average.

We aim to extract the maximum profit of the session but stop taking risks at the first negative impact.

Situation 2:

We have wins alternating with losses slightly above the expected average, resulting in an overall balance that is still positive.

We aim to minimize the impact of potential losses as soon as the balance begins to be threatened.

Situation 3:

We have wins alternating with losses slightly below the expected average, resulting in a negative overall balance.

It is a matter of progressing in risk and reducing the bet.

Situation 4:

We have hits clearly below the expected average.

The session is abandoned, we engage in "virtual play", or reduce our bet to a minimum with maximum coverage, only seeking a cut "for the average".



It is better not to start from single numbers backwards if the partial balance is negative. In moderately balanced trams, a good approach is to have only one or two straight-up numbers and two or three double-streets or corners. If things go moderately well with the bankroll (I mean close to zero) continue in that way and if it starts to go down concentrate more on risk. If a hit puts you ahead, go back to the conservative format but set a drawdown threshold, or return to very conservative bets. If you remain balanced at that new level, continue or evaluate if time advises leaving. If you choose to stay, stop at the first negative tram, never let it take too much of what you won. You will always find short streaks where where you will multiply your profits quickly. It is only a matter of patience. As long as you leave every day slightly winning, you will have glorious days where you will bet small surpluses that will chain to big wins. The important thing is that the opposite does not happen.



The enemy is not in the roulette wheel, it is inside you, never forget it. When dispersion acts in our favor, the mass that we win grows, because of the increase in the mass that we bet. Very profitable small trams, limited at the first sign of change. When we lose, we try to make those small sections be just that. Small in mass. Most of the time it will be hovering around equilibrium.



How can the sum of losing tools lead to a profit?

You can't build a house with just a hammer, or just a saw or pliers. Every tool is a loser to build a house, but all of them together can do it. The parachute serves to progress in risk, not to win. We will win if we have known how to size our bets in such a way that when the inevitable success tram or series of successes arrive, the result is positive.

―Manrique


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