Started by Patrik, Mar 02, 2023, 01:56 PM
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I want to show a 50/50 selection with "Lay The Favorite" and I reckon this work on all horse races on exchanges.12-step fibonacci where you attack in segments of four attempts after a fictive win.
Here are 10 years' data on "Lay The Favorite" not many selections.But if you add the UK, Irland, USA, Australien and Africa you will get plenty of selections.
LLLLWW W +1 LLLLWLW LW +2 LLLLLWLW LW +3LLLLLLLWW W +4LLLLWW W +5LLLLWW W +6LLLLWW W +7LLLLWW W +8LLLLLLWLW LW +9LLLLLLWW W +10 LLLLLWLLLW LLLW +9 LLLLLLWW W +10 LLLLLWLW LW +11 LLLLLWW W +12 LLLLLWLLLW LLLW +11 LLLLWLLW LLW +11LLLLWLLLLLLLLLWLLW LLLL LLW -4 LLLLWW W -3LLLLWW W -2LLLLWLW LW -1LLLLWW W +0LLLLLWLLW LLW +0LLLLLLWLW LW +1LLLLWLLW LLW +0LLLLWW W +1LLLLWW W +2LLLLLWLW LW +3LLLLLLLLLLWW W +4LLLLWW W +5LLLLLLWLLLW LLLW +4 LLLLWLW LW +5LLLLWLLW LLW +5LLLLLWLW LW +6LLLLWW W +7LLLLLWLLW LLW +7LLLLWLLW LLW +7LLLLLLWLW LW +8LLLLLLLLLLLWLW LW +9LLLLLWLW LW +10LLLLLLLLLWW W +11LLLLWW W +12LLLLWLW LW +13LLLLWLLLW LLLW +12 LLLLLLLLWW W +13LLLLWW W +14LLLLLWW W +15LLLLWLW LW +16LLLLWLW LW +17LLLLLLLLWLLW LLW +17LLLLWLLW LLW +17 LLLLLLLWLLLLWW LLLL W +12,5 LLLLWW W +13LLLLWLW LW +14LLLLLLLLLLLWLLLW LLLW +13LLLLWLW LW +14LLLLWLW LW +15LLLLLLLLLLLWLLW LLW +16LLLLWLW LW +17LLLLWLLW LLW +17LLLLWLLLW LLLW +16LLLLWLLW LLW +16LLLLLLWLW LW +17
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It will work till you go bust losing all that you won this way. All sportsbets/casinos will close the day such simple ideas start to earn money for people. Positive variance may give you wrong confidence about any system but in the long run, it is sure to make you lose.
You are welcome to have opinions, but I don't take advice from anyone who is not making a living on Casinos/Sports betting.
Have a nice day and happy winnings.
Thanks for the post and system. Are you getting the data directly from Betfair?
I've used a similar system in the past which worked quite well, but it was for soccer. You can get free soccer data here-
Hello I have two things to tell you.
Little Acorn Gold is a horse race strategy that has been around since early 2000sLay The Favorite
It use a trigger and a Fibo and it just just once during several of years playing and still on the positive side money wise
I wanted to show a good selection process to get Horse candidates with the video
Is up to any one to develop a strategyI have 10 years data where the worse was 10 in a row Lay The Favorite
The post above is one example to tackle things.And I am about testing the selection process using UK ... Irland races
So my example dont have that many trades and is up to any one to explore
Patrick, can 2x horses (eg. favorites) as "to place" bets be combined in a single race .. & in a way that returns are multiplied when both finish as that?
HardMan I have a strategie for dutching two favourites with level stakes and a positive return on investment.But I can not share it as there are copyright issues.When you LAY you play that something will not happen and I don't think using two favourites not to happen is a good idea, but that is my opinion.
Now I will say something special
During a discussion with Bayes/Jules (math expert), we come to one interesting conclusion.Let's say you use a string of losses as a trigger and you know the growth of STD/Ecart for significant imbalance.Then you can measure the regression towards the means strike ratio in chunks of small, medium, and large chunks of partly correction.I say partly correction as there will be gaps (sometimes) with small, medium and large chunks of back-to-back results with more losses or stronger STD/Ecart growing in small, medium and large chunks.
So to minimize the educated guesswork you can measure the gaps/chunks of small, medium and large chunks of losses or winnings after a strong imbalance and get the weak, medium and large frequency of hits from both losses and winning chunks.
I will teach this in private as I don't want to show this in public as I have never seen anyone mention or coming with a solid solution for this.This is the absolute best of the best, in my opinion.
So drop me a PM and I will explain how to tackle and measure the phenomenon.VLS (Victor) know I am not selling anything and are honest, so no worry.
Just feel I don't want to share some parts in public.
'to place' means finishing in the first 2, 3 (or more) positions, depending on the number of horses in thevrace.
At least that's what I gathered from the sites, could be wrong.
Perfect for press.Also adapting my roulette play to horses as recovery -- playing two or more positions to get a hit, & then focus on one to secure the second hit close by -- where the so-called press is done with payout, without adding extra units just leveraging the first hit's (multiple positions) gains.
The odds on horses, with very rare exceptions of being less than 1:1, are considerably high -- so it leaves room for multiple positions (multiple horses in the same race, or very close in terms of real-time) & still arranges the stake(s) to have great gains to be leveraged further.
So, the question remains -- is it possible to multiply odds of more horses to finish in "place' -- within the same race?