Roulette Ideas

Hello dear Patrik, welcome back! 🤗

Quote from: Patrik on Feb 02, 2025, 07:57 PMThen Victor can give them separate space and location.

Yes, we can gladly provide separate sections for remarkable community members. 👍

(Exactly as needed)

Cheers!

I have saved articles by him.
Post or add them into this topic.
Then Victor can give them separate space and location.

Those calculations were way off. The bet sequence is

5, 6, 12, 24, 48, 96, 192 on each dozen.

On a win, rebet and if that wins then reset. You are looking for a double win.

The idea is to play the progression until you win twice in a row playing two dozens.

On a loss, move to the next step,
on a win rebet the same amount staying on the same step.

Step 0 shows 2(1+1) means bet 1 on each dozen.
Step 4 shows 12(6+6) means bet 6 on each dozen.

It is better than playing the martingale, and covers more numbers,
plus the profit goes up as it is played.

I see where you are coming from, nice insight!

I've claimed in yester years that the best selection for EC is to follow the last result.
This way you will win by streaks which are the foundation of standard deviations.
Whether a deviation is going to decrease or increase you will gain.
Of course there are chops but those don't last for long and personally I prefer to stop betting after every loss till I witness what would be a won bet.

But all that is just me, there are some "gurus" who prefer to bet against the face of reason..."wait for 5 virtual losses and then bet for 5 more times", anything before the 5 virtual losses is a waste of time and everything after is a waste of money, so as you see some self proclaimed betting gurus don't understand that even if you bet against a 17 streak it could become even longer!
When they win is just a temporary luck, but in their mind think that they are smart, how naive and foolish and fortunately for the casinos there will never be a shortage of them!

If some people would like to realize what I'm and you are "TwoUp" are talking about they would theirselves a favor, me and you have nothing to gain from their losses.

Editable placeholder.

We're changing format to have all announcements go to the first post, consolidated, with new additions also mentioned via replies below. 👍

Okay! Bask in the saddle!

Freed the rest of the month. Resuming now. Thanks!

I provided a table of optimal stopping which is relevant here.

Also relevant is the arcsine law and things like zero crossings of random walks of a coin flip / even chance outcome.

The reality is that your particular path or history of outcomes on a random walk will be mostly biased on one side or the other with extremely few crossing where outcomes even up. Playing until even is not practical as house edge will erode your bankroll.

The math says that if you flipped a coin 1 million times you will on average see the counts of head and tails being equal less than 6 times! Of course not every 1 million flips will have less than 6, some will have a lot and some will have none, but the point is we can expect an EC to even up less than 6 times in 1 million spins ignoring zero.


However math also shows that you can optimise your expected value by stopping at optimal points on that random walk and you can refer to my post for that which was computed by simulation as published research.

It might sound like Voodoo but it's based on a simple argument. If you win the first coin flip then stop, if you don't then keep flipping until heads and tails is break even to get the "average" which is 1/2. Your expected return is 1/2 + 1/4 = 3/4 because half the time you win the first time and of the half you lose you keep flipping (potentially forever) until you get the average which is 1/2 and 1/2 of 1/2 is 1/4 and adding those two expected values is 3/4 which is better than 50/50 or 1/2.

Playing forever is not practical, so my table provides the rules for achieving positive EV by stopping in a truncated/practical version.

A delay due to offline matters slowed us, but we are coming back to finish this and put up the January thread "with a bang" 👍.

(+/- registry and real-time charts)