Law of the third

Started by FreeRoulette, Sep 11, 2022, 08:22 AM

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FreeRoulette

Law of the third says that in 36 spins, about 24 numbers come up.

How can we take advantage of it?


TwoUp


Albalaha

Quote from: FreeRoulette on Sep 11, 2022, 08:22 AMLaw of the third says that in 36 spins, about 24 numbers come up.

How can we take advantage of it?


No advantage by itself as you can't predict those numbers that will hit once or more times or those who will remain unhit.
 If you bet the remaining unhit numbers for next 36 spins as a dozen bet with a very wise progression and safeguards,you might have good chances to win some serious amount of chips. Remember, ball and wheel have no memory. Exact replication of numbers in every cycle of 36/37 spins is unlikely. This will still not work in isolation.Rather, you need a very smart money management for everything you choose to bet.

TwoUp

The law of the third is based on what is known as the birthday paradox and is an application of the pigeon hole principle.

The birthday attack is used to break cryptographic systems which theoretically should take 2^n guesses to find a collsion/match but actually only requires the square root √(2^n) = 2^(n/2) which is a hell of a lot less. Attackers can beat the probabilistic expectation that would require 2^n guesses to have a match.

This meant that cryptographic systems had to increase the size of things by quite a lot to make it computationally infeasible to find a match. Effectively they had to increase the pockets on the wheel to make the cost of attack more than the resources available to most attackers.

Is that not the same objective here? To beat the base probability and generate a match between our bet selection and the wheel though fewer guesses?

A: It is the same objective and the same math but it's not a gimmme, just with cryptographic research it requires study to beat a statistical game.

winkel

Quote from: FreeRoulette on Sep 11, 2022, 08:22 AMLaw of the third says that in 36 spins, about 24 numbers come up.

How can we take advantage of it?

1. The LotT is mainly reduced to this 24..... This is a wrong approach to the LotT

2. It mainly depends on what you will bet.
- - if you wanna hit a sleeper, all cycles of 37 spins with more hits than 24 numbers will help you.
- - if you wanna hit a repeater, all cycles with less than 24 number will help you.

When 30 numbers appear it is a luck for a sleeper´-better, it will be the killer of the repeater-better
When only 15 numbers appear it is a luck for a repeater-better but ...

It is not the Law which will give you a hint. It is only the correct interpretation that will give you some ideas.

BlueAngel

I would like to provide you with a general idea, let's say that we are looking for 2 kind of numbers:

All those which have shown at least once during the last 3 x 37 spins cycles, which means that each of these numbers should has at least 3 hits in total, 1 hit per cycle.

The other group of numbers we are looking for are those which are missing for the last 3 x 37 spins cycles, 111 spins.

One more condition, we should match in pairs these 2 groups of numbers, if for example there are 4 absent numbers but only 3 from those which shown up in all 3 last cycles (regardless of how many hits), then we should discard 1 of the sleepers in order to have 3 + 3 pairings, but which one from the sleepers should we discard you might wonder, the answer lies within the wheel's layout, find the one which is furthest away from all hot numbers, that should be the one.

When there are 1+1 or 2+2 or 3+3 or 4+4 we don't have to discard any number(s) from our betting selection, but when either of the 2 groups has 1 or 2 more number(s) we should discard the extra in regards with their proximity on the wheel's layout, the furthest away from the numbers of the other group should be discarded.

Therefore we should bet 1+1 for up to 72 spins/bets, or 2+2 for up to 144 spins/bets, 3+3 for up to 216 spins/bets and in some rare occasions 5+5 numbers for a maximum of 360 spins/bets, you should stop betting and restart charting as soon as you have an overall profit since the initiation of the current betting sequence, otherwise the maximum risk would be the total of numbers multiplied by the total of spins/bets, for example by betting 3+3 for 216 spins is 6 x 216 = 1296 units IF not any number show up.

If you would like to limit the budget then play only for 1+1 or 2+2 numbers, but this way when they qualify 3+3 or more numbers you would have to restart charting, thus invest more time instead of money.
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